At the heart of our valuation system is a detailed projection of a company's future cash flows, resulting from our analysts' research. Analysts create custom industry and company assumptions to feed income statement, balance sheet and capital investment assumptions into our globally standardized, proprietary discounted cash flow (DCF) modelling templates. We use scenario analysis, in-depth competitive advantage analysis and a variety of other analytical tools to augment this process. Moreover, we think analyzing valuation through discounted cash flows presents a better lens for viewing cyclical companies, high-growth firms, businesses with finite lives (e.g., mines) or companies expected to generate negative earnings over the next few years. That said, we don't dismiss multiples altogether but rather use them as supporting cross-checks for our DCF-based fair value estimates. We also acknowledge that DCF models offer their own challenges (including a potential proliferation of estimated inputs and the possibility that the method may miss short-term market price movements), but we believe these negatives are mitigated by deep analysis and our long-term approach.
Morningstar's equity research group believes that a company's intrinsic worth results from the future cash flows it can generate. The Morningstar Rating for stocks identifies stocks trading at a discount or premium to their intrinsic worth -- or fair value estimate, in Morningstar terminology. Five-star stocks sell for the biggest risk-adjusted discount to their fair values, whereas 1-star stocks trade at premiums to their intrinsic worth.
Four key components drive the Morningstar rating: (1) our assessment of the firm's economic moat, (2) our estimate of the stock's fair value, (3) our uncertainty around that fair value estimate, and (4) the current market price. This process ultimately culminates in our single-point star rating.
Basic Materials
Agnico-Eagle Mines AEMAgrium Inc. AGU
Barrick Gold Corporation ABX
Cameco Corp CCO
Canfor Corp CFP
Eldorado Gold Corp. ELD
First Quantum Minerals Ltd. FM
Goldcorp, Inc. G
Iamgold Corp. IMG
Kinross Gold Corp. K
Norbord Inc. OSB
Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan, Inc. POT
Teck Resources Ltd. TCK.B
West Fraser Timber WFT
Yamana Gold Inc. YRI
Communication Services
BCE Inc. BCEQuebecor Inc. QBR.B
Rogers Communications, Inc. RCI.B
Shaw Communications Inc. SJR.B
TELUS Corp. T
Consumer Cyclical
BRP Inc. DOOGildan Activewear, Inc. GIL
Magna International Inc. MG
Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR
Canadian Tire Corp Ltd CTC.A
Consumer Defensive
George Weston Ltd. WNLoblaw Companies Ltd. L
Metro Inc. MRU
Saputo, Inc. SAP
Energy
ARC Resources Ltd. ARXCanadian Natural Resources Ltd. CNQ
Cenovus Energy, Inc. CVE
Crescent Point Energy Corp CPG
Enbridge, Inc. ENB
Encana Corp. ECA
Husky Energy, Inc. HSE
Imperial Oil Ltd. IMO
Inter Pipeline Ltd IPL
Keyera Corp. KEY
MEG Energy Corp. MEG
Pembina Pipeline Corp. PPL
Peyto Exploration & Development Corp. PEY
Precision Drilling Corp PD
Suncor Energy Inc. SU
Tourmaline Oil Corp. TOU
TransCanada Corp. TRP
Financial Services
AGF Management Limited AGF.BBank of Montreal BMO
Bank of Nova Scotia BNS
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce CM
CI Financial Corp. CIX
Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd. FFH
Great-West Lifeco Inc. GWO
IGM Financial Inc. IGM
Manulife Financial Corp. MFC
National Bank of Canada NA
Power Corporation of Canada. POW
Power Financial PWF
Royal Bank of Canada RY
Sun Life Financial Inc. SLF
Toronto-Dominion Bank TD
Health Care
Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc. VRXIndustrials
Air Canada AC.BBombardier Inc. BBD.B
Canadian National Railway Co CNR
Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd. CP
Ritchie Bros Auctioneers Inc. RBA
SNC-Lavalin Group SNC
Thomson Reuters Corp. TRI
Westjet Airlines Ltd. WJA
Technology
BlackBerry Ltd BBCGI Group, Inc. GIB.A
Utilities
Fortis, Inc. FTSTransAlta Corporation TA