Key Morningstar Metrics for Bombardier
- Fair Value Estimate: C$101.00
- Morningstar Rating: ★★★
- Morningstar Economic Moat Rating: Narrow
- Morningstar Uncertainty Rating: High
What We Thought of Bombardier’s Earnings
The Trump administration has ordered 25% tariffs on US imports from Canada. Of Bombardier’s BBD.A USD 8 billion in 2023 revenue, USD 5 billion came from US-based customers, putting the majority at some risk of delay or diminishment.
Big picture: As we wrote in November, tariffs on imports featured prominently in the 2024 Republican Party platform, framed as a policy tool to promote fair and reciprocal trade. While we can’t rule out a protracted trade war, we view the tariffs as a negotiating tactic.
- Of the approximately 140 business jets Bombardier delivered in 2023, 112 were powered by engines manufactured by Honeywell in Arizona or GE Aerospace in Indiana. These engines represent more than one-third of the value of the jet in some cases, potentially complicating the effects of the tariffs.
- Both the US Army and Air Force are purchasing Bombardier jets modified for electronic surveillance and battlefield communications. They may seek an exception to paying the 25% tariff, or its removal.
The bottom line: We have not altered our forecast or fair value estimate of C$101 per share. We will monitor US-Canadian trade policy developments with an eye on how quickly negotiations to reduce tariffs progress.
Bombardier Stock vs. Morningstar Fair Value Estimate
Source: Morningstar Direct. Latest price as of 04:00 PM EST. Data as of Feb. 03, 2025.
The author or authors do not own shares in any securities mentioned in this article. Find out about Morningstar's editorial policies.