Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd AEM

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Valuation Apr 02, 2025
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We Update Our Gold Price Forecasts and Miner Fair Value Estimates
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Jon Mills, CFA
Equity Analyst
Analyst Note | by Jon Mills, CFA Updated Apr 02, 2025

Gold prices have risen 19% so far in 2025 and are at historical highs. Tailwinds include a flight to safety on falling share markets, tariff worries, geopolitical instability, a weaker US dollar, and rising inflation expectations. Central bank buying is strong and ETF flows are now positive.

Business Strategy and Outlook | by Jon Mills, CFA Updated Apr 02, 2025

Agnico Eagle is the world’s third-largest gold miner by production, operating mines in Canada, Mexico, Finland, and Australia, reflecting the company’s focus on lower-risk jurisdictions. Its four cornerstone assets each produce roughly 350,000-700,000 ounces of gold annually, consisting of Detour Lake, Canadian Malartic, Meadowbank, and Meliadine.

Morningstar Fair Value Estimate
The Morningstar Fair Value Estimate guides investors to the long-term, intrinsic value of a stock, helping them see beyond the present market price.

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Morningstar calculates the fair value estimate of a company based on a projection of how much cash the company will generate in the future. Morningstar analysts create custom industry and company assumptions to feed income statement, balance sheet, and capital investment assumptions into a proprietary discounted cash flow modeling template. Scenario analysis, in-depth competitive advantage analysis, and a variety of other analytical tools are used to augment the discounted cash flow process. The analyst discounts future cash flows using the weighted average of the costs of equity, debt, and preferred stock (and any other funding sources), using expected future proportionate long-term, market-value weights.

The Morningstar Fair Value Estimate is a projection/opinion and not a statement of fact. If Morningstar's base-case assumptions are true the market price will converge on Morningstar's fair value estimate over time, generally within three years. Investments in securities are subject to market and other risks. Past performance of a security may or may not be sustained in the future and is no indication of future performance.

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