Devon Energy Corp DVN

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Valuation Apr 04, 2025
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Tariff Impacts Cause Us to Reduce US Shale Producers' Fair Value Estimates by Up to 4%
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Joshua Aguilar
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Analyst Note | by Joshua Aguilar Updated Apr 04, 2025

On April 2, 2025, US President Trump unveiled a tariff plan calling for a 10% baseline tariff on all imports, with select countries facing higher tariffs. In addition, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and partners will raise crude production by 411,000 barrels per day in May.

Business Strategy and Outlook | by Joshua Aguilar Updated Mar 26, 2025

In 2018, Devon Energy embarked on a series of shrewd capital allocation moves that included selling its EnLink Midstream interest, divesting its Canadian heavy oil and Barnett Shale interests, and merging with WPX Energy. This allowed Devon to recycle cash by shedding interests that were either noncore or higher on the cost curve. Recycled cash all

Morningstar Fair Value Estimate
The Morningstar Fair Value Estimate guides investors to the long-term, intrinsic value of a stock, helping them see beyond the present market price.

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Morningstar calculates the fair value estimate of a company based on a projection of how much cash the company will generate in the future. Morningstar analysts create custom industry and company assumptions to feed income statement, balance sheet, and capital investment assumptions into a proprietary discounted cash flow modeling template. Scenario analysis, in-depth competitive advantage analysis, and a variety of other analytical tools are used to augment the discounted cash flow process. The analyst discounts future cash flows using the weighted average of the costs of equity, debt, and preferred stock (and any other funding sources), using expected future proportionate long-term, market-value weights.

The Morningstar Fair Value Estimate is a projection/opinion and not a statement of fact. If Morningstar's base-case assumptions are true the market price will converge on Morningstar's fair value estimate over time, generally within three years. Investments in securities are subject to market and other risks. Past performance of a security may or may not be sustained in the future and is no indication of future performance.

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