Wide-moat Intuit posted second-quarter results above our expectations. Total revenue went up by 17% year over year to $4.0 billion, giving the company a head start as it enters the peak tax season. Despite Intuit’s strong growth momentum, we are trimming our fair value estimate to $580 from $640 as we transfer coverage to a new analyst. We expect continued investments from the company to build the Intuit Enterprise Suite, turning midmarket into a new growth engine. We view Intuit’s shares as fairly valued following a 6% jump in after-hours trading.
Show me how fair value is derived (00:41)
Morningstar calculates the fair value estimate of a company based on a projection of how much cash the company will generate in the future. Morningstar analysts create custom industry and company assumptions to feed income statement, balance sheet, and capital investment assumptions into a proprietary discounted cash flow modeling template. Scenario analysis, in-depth competitive advantage analysis, and a variety of other analytical tools are used to augment the discounted cash flow process. The analyst discounts future cash flows using the weighted average of the costs of equity, debt, and preferred stock (and any other funding sources), using expected future proportionate long-term, market-value weights.
The Morningstar Fair Value Estimate is a projection/opinion and not a statement of fact. If Morningstar's base-case assumptions are true the market price will converge on Morningstar's fair value estimate over time, generally within three years. Investments in securities are subject to market and other risks. Past performance of a security may or may not be sustained in the future and is no indication of future performance.