PVH Corp PVH

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  • Sector
  • Industry
  • Investment Style
    Small Value
  • Market Cap
  • Forward Div Yield
    0.13%
  • Trailing Div Yield
  • Price/Sales
    0.74
  • Price/Book
    1.20
  • Beta (5-Year)
    1.89
  • Consensus Forward P/E
    8.03
  • Trailing 12-mo Rev

Morningstar's Analysis

Valuation Jun 14, 2024
Currency in USD
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PVH Earnings: Signs of Progress Under PVH+ Plan but Outlook Disappointing
Author Photo
David Swartz
Senior Equity Analyst
Analyst Note | by David Swartz Updated Apr 01, 2025

No-moat PVH closed fiscal 2024 with sales and profitability that slightly exceeded our expectations. The firm also announced a $500 million accelerated share repurchase plan after a similar level of repurchases in 2024. On the downside, its guidance for 2025 was uninspiring as the firm faces uneven consumer demand and delays in new Calvin Klein merchandise. Indeed, as we had long anticipated, PVH is going to fall far short of its original 2025 PVH+ targets ($12.5 billion in sales, 15% operating margin). We expect to cut our $145 fair value estimate by a low-single-digit rate given the outlook, but shares remain very attractive. After having fallen nearly 40% year to date, shares rallied by a midteens percentage on April 1 on the earnings report and buyback plan.

Business Strategy and Outlook | by David Swartz Updated Dec 10, 2024

Once known as a producer of midtier men's shirts, PVH transformed itself by purchasing fashion brand Calvin Klein in 2003, Tommy Hilfiger in 2010, and Calvin Klein licensee Warnaco in 2013. More recently, it disposed of most of its noncore labels to focus on Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger. While the firm lacks diversification, we think it was prud

Morningstar Fair Value Estimate
The Morningstar Fair Value Estimate guides investors to the long-term, intrinsic value of a stock, helping them see beyond the present market price.

Show me how fair value is derived (00:41)

Morningstar calculates the fair value estimate of a company based on a projection of how much cash the company will generate in the future. Morningstar analysts create custom industry and company assumptions to feed income statement, balance sheet, and capital investment assumptions into a proprietary discounted cash flow modeling template. Scenario analysis, in-depth competitive advantage analysis, and a variety of other analytical tools are used to augment the discounted cash flow process. The analyst discounts future cash flows using the weighted average of the costs of equity, debt, and preferred stock (and any other funding sources), using expected future proportionate long-term, market-value weights.

The Morningstar Fair Value Estimate is a projection/opinion and not a statement of fact. If Morningstar's base-case assumptions are true the market price will converge on Morningstar's fair value estimate over time, generally within three years. Investments in securities are subject to market and other risks. Past performance of a security may or may not be sustained in the future and is no indication of future performance.

Morningstar Equity Research Methodology

Price vs. Fair Value

 
Price/Fair Value
Total Return %
Index Total Return %
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 YTD
-42.42 22.73 52.22 -32.23 13.25 -10.67 13.63 -33.67 73.21 -13.28 -35.93
0.69 12.44 21.47 -5.05 31.22 20.90 25.78 -19.43 26.44 24.09 -13.76

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