Wide-moat Teradyne held its investor day, overshadowed by escalating concerns over trade restrictions, particularly in the semiconductor industry, a core market for the firm’s automated test equipment segment. We attribute the 17% decline in stock price to a combination of factors including lowered SemiTest growth expectations for 2025 and heightened market concerns over tariffs. We’ve recently observed the same in other semiconductor stocks as well. Teradyne shared that while some projects would experience delays and capital expenditure reviews, it has not seen order cancelations yet. Management noted that the current expected impact is for a slowdown in the second quarter (now expecting flat to negative 10% sequential growth), which is pressuring 2025 growth to mid-single digits (down from midteens). While management guided for the “low end” of their previous 2026 guidance range, we believe current trends also increase the likelihood of a potential guidance reductions for 2026.
Show me how fair value is derived (00:41)
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